368 we didn't do it


Instead of playing cards indoors unmasked, we hung out in the backyard. 

We're not sure what was the right thing to do, so we followed current guidelines. I think. Because we could have gone to a restaurant and sat indoors together. 

Anyway, we had one friend, a doctor, point at data and say, it's safe. Then her husband, also a doctor, said, well hey, maybe don't be so fast.

Here's the chart.


It's not new. It's been around since last December, when Pfizer was trying to get emergency approval of its vaccine. So it's looking at their control groups, not what has happened in the real world. 

That top line is people who didn't get the vaccine. The bottom line is people who did. And it sure looks like about ten days after your first jab, you're about as protected as you're going to be.

Real world data out of Israel seems to back up that early data. So, doctor number one was probably correct.

But after a year in lockdown, apparently we like looking at the stars and smelling like smoke.


That tax credit for an ebike continues to move along. It turns out it would be 30%, up to $1500. So if you buy a $1000 ebike, you can take $300 off your tax bill at the end of the year. Hmmm...

This is big news. A company goes from nothing to $30m in sales in two years. That's like 30,000 bikes sold. As far as I know, they did it with a Kickstarter, and have been basically profitable since the get go.

Meanwhile, this manages to be bigger news. This company has two prototypes, and no sales. (Ok, they do have a contract to make 10,000 vans for UPS, so that's not exactly zero sales. They just haven't delivered any vehicles.)

Yeah, so, they went public already. And the main investor turned his $400m into $11b, on paper. 

Or vapor. Or wherever. Because they're going to have 30 factories next year. But they don't have any right now.

Their basic plan is to build a "skateboard" that is basically the propulsion of a vehicle, then plunk whatever body onto it. This will all be done by robots.

It all sounds exactly like the promise of EVs. 

Ah, promises.

I promise I won't do any donuts.

So inside is a 38 minute looping projection of his work. This is the first "instagram museum" to roll through town that I'm perhaps, maybe considering checking out.

Yep, crazy socialists be running things.

Be safe, and don't let grandpa catch you with that stuff.

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